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Credit Default Swaps and Central Clearing
30-Apr-2008 at 09:42

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23-Apr-2008 at 18:18

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The GAMCO Blog
May 08, 2008 at 09:51
U. S. - New Car Sales

As expected, the consumer has reduced purchase of big ticket consumer durables such as autos. We thought we would share several observations that were posted in the May 5th issue of Automotive News:

  1. “Average auto loan terms have risen from 57 months in January 2002 to 64 months in March, according to Edmunds.com data.”

  2. Also, according to Edmunds, “in February, the average negative equity – the amount by which the balance owned on the trade-in vehicle exceeds the vehicle’s value – reached $4,342, the highest recorded by Edmunds.com.”

    Since a large portion of new cars are bought with a trade-in, declining used car values –traceable in part to economics and in part to shift in vehicle size – will lead to a continuing drag on new car purchases.

  3. How current average wholesale prices of 2005-model vehicles, by brand, compare with predictions 3 years ago of what the cars and trucks would be worth today.

    Brand Average
    Wholesale Price
    Projected
    Residual
    Difference
    Mercedes
    BMW
    Lexus
    Dodge
    Toyota
    $29,733
    $25,607
    $23,571
    $11,482
    $13,531
    $34,472
    $28,618
    $24,983
    $11,981
    $13,671
    -$4,739    
    -$3,011    
    -$1,412    
    -$499    
    -$140    


 
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GAMCO Investors, Inc. ("GAMCO") prepared this posting as a matter of general information. We do not intend it to be a complete description of any security or company. All facts and statistics referenced herein are from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee their accuracy and it may be incomplete or condensed. GAMCO makes no commitment to update this posting and it may remove it at anytime from its website. This posting is made available free of charge for all persons that may legally view this posting regardless of whether you have a relationship with GAMCO or its affiliates. This posting does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell a security nor is it a solicitation of a proxy or a vote. The posting is not a research report. Individuals should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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